A deterministic model with spatial consideration for a class of human disease-transmitting vectors is presented and analysed. The model takes the form of a nonlinear system of delayed ordinary differential equations in a compartmental framework. Using the model, existence conditions of a non-trivial steadystate vector population are obtained when more than one breeding site and human habitat site are available. Model analysis confirms the existence of a non-trivial steady state, uniquely determined by a threshold parameter, Rj0 , whose value depends on the distribution and distance of breeding site j to human habitats. Results are based on the existence of a globally and asymptotically stable non-trivial steady-state human population. The explicit form of the Hopf bifurcation, initially reported by Ngwa [On the population dynamics of the malaria vector, Bull. Math. Biol. 68 (2006), pp. 2161–2189], is also obtained and used to show that the vector population oscillates with time. The modelling exercise points to the possibility of spatial–temporal patterns and oscillatory behaviour without external seasonal forcing.
Title
A mathematical model of the population dynamics of disease-transmitting vectors with spatial consideration
Nourridine, S. et al. (2011) "A mathematical model of the population dynamics of disease-transmitting vectors with spatial consideration." Journal of Biological Dynamics 5 (4): 335-365.